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icon for Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 2° posto

Alexandre Guimarães 58%

Gaguim 31.4%

Eduardo Gomes 7.4%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 3.5%

Polymarket

$25,761 Vol.

Alexandre Guimarães 58%

Gaguim 31.4%

Eduardo Gomes 7.4%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 3.5%

Polymarket

$25,761 Vol.

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$13,917 Vol.

58%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$2,842 Vol.

31%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$1,282 Vol.

7%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$364 Vol.

3%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$4,410 Vol.

3%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$386 Vol.

3%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$418 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$342 Vol.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$489 Vol.

1%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$358 Vol.

<1%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$357 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$311 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$284 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,761
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,761
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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icon for Leila do Vôlei otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Leila do Vôlei otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

53%
Sì
icon for Carlos Bolsonaro otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di Santa Catarina del 2026?

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41%
Sì

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"Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Alexandre Guimarães" a 58%, seguito da "Gaguim" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 58¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 58% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 2° posto" ha generato $25.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 2° posto", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 2° posto" è "Alexandre Guimarães" a 58%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 58% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Gaguim" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.