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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Mato Grosso
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Mato Grosso

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Mato Grosso
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Mato Grosso

Wellington Fagundes 61%

Otaviano Pivetta 38%

Mauricio Coelho <1%

Sargento Laudicério <1%

Polymarket

$25,338 Vol.

Wellington Fagundes 61%

Otaviano Pivetta 38%

Mauricio Coelho <1%

Sargento Laudicério <1%

Polymarket

$25,338 Vol.

icon for Wellington Fagundes

Wellington Fagundes

$13,656 Vol.

61%

icon for Otaviano Pivetta

Otaviano Pivetta

$8,065 Vol.

38%

icon for Mauricio Coelho

Mauricio Coelho

$1,063 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sargento Laudicério

Sargento Laudicério

$689 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dottoressa Natasha

Dottoressa Natasha

$995 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafaell Milas

Rafaell Milas

$870 Vol.

<1%

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) leading Wellington Fagundes (PL) by roughly 11 points in the first round and holding an edge in a simulated runoff, reflecting Pivetta's gains in voter preference and approval of his administration. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns Fagundes the higher implied probability, consistent with his established statewide profile as senator, stronger performance in certain demographic segments, and historical patterns of late shifts in Brazilian gubernatorial races. Minor candidates including Doutora Natasha remain in single digits, while the large share of undecided voters and the October 2026 election timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of primary and alliance developments.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,338
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) leading Wellington Fagundes (PL) by roughly 11 points in the first round and holding an edge in a simulated runoff, reflecting Pivetta's gains in voter preference and approval of his administration. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns Fagundes the higher implied probability, consistent with his established statewide profile as senator, stronger performance in certain demographic segments, and historical patterns of late shifts in Brazilian gubernatorial races. Minor candidates including Doutora Natasha remain in single digits, while the large share of undecided voters and the October 2026 election timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of primary and alliance developments.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,338
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Mato Grosso" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Wellington Fagundes" a 61%, seguito da "Otaviano Pivetta" a 38%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 61¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 61% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Mato Grosso" ha generato $25.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Mato Grosso", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Mato Grosso" è "Wellington Fagundes" a 61%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 61% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Otaviano Pivetta" a 38%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Mato Grosso" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.