**The closely contested race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate election reflects a fragmented field where PL candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni compete with incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) and Décio Lima (PT) for the remaining seat.** Recent August Quaest polling showed Amin at 19%, Bolsonaro at 16%, de Toni at 12%, and Lima at 9% in combined vote intentions, with roughly 23% undecided and high rejection rates for several frontrunners. PL’s dual candidacy on the same ticket, Amin’s separate PP run, and Lima’s PT positioning create vote-splitting dynamics that keep second-place probabilities tight. The market’s pricing captures this uncertainty ahead of the single-round contest that elects the top two candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni Senato Santa Catarina: 2° Posto
Elezioni Senato Santa Catarina: 2° Posto
Carlos Bolsonaro 41%
Carol de Toni 32%
Esperidião Amin 22%
Décio Lima 3.4%
$49,696 Vol.
$49,696 Vol.
Carlos Bolsonaro
41%
Carol de Toni
32%
Esperidião Amin
22%
Décio Lima
3%
Carol
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Marcos Dorval
<1%
Marlene Soccas
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
<1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 41%
Carol de Toni 32%
Esperidião Amin 22%
Décio Lima 3.4%
$49,696 Vol.
$49,696 Vol.
Carlos Bolsonaro
41%
Carol de Toni
32%
Esperidião Amin
22%
Décio Lima
3%
Carol
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Marcos Dorval
<1%
Marlene Soccas
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**The closely contested race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate election reflects a fragmented field where PL candidates Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni compete with incumbent Esperidião Amin (PP) and Décio Lima (PT) for the remaining seat.** Recent August Quaest polling showed Amin at 19%, Bolsonaro at 16%, de Toni at 12%, and Lima at 9% in combined vote intentions, with roughly 23% undecided and high rejection rates for several frontrunners. PL’s dual candidacy on the same ticket, Amin’s separate PP run, and Lima’s PT positioning create vote-splitting dynamics that keep second-place probabilities tight. The market’s pricing captures this uncertainty ahead of the single-round contest that elects the top two candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will Esperidião Amin win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?
André do Prado otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di San Paolo del 2026?
Alexandre Guimarães otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Tocantins del 2026?
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