Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Tocantins’s October 4 Senate election, consistent with repeated polling showing him ahead of a crowded field of 13 registered candidates. As the incumbent seeking re-election, Gomes benefits from established name recognition and party infrastructure, while recent August surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest place him first, typically in the mid-teens to mid-20s percent range amid high undecided shares exceeding 30 percent. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Gaguim (União) trail as the clearest challengers in those surveys, with the remaining contenders—including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão—registering single-digit support or less. The fragmented ballot and single-round, two-seat format reinforce Gomes’s positioning, though substantial undecided voters leave room for late shifts before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEduardo Gomes 76%
Alexandre Guimarães 10.3%
Gaguim 8.6%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$27,047 Vol.
$27,047 Vol.
Eduardo Gomes
76%
Alexandre Guimarães
10%
Gaguim
9%
Paulo Mourão
1%
Eli Borges
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
<1%
Eduardo Gomes 76%
Alexandre Guimarães 10.3%
Gaguim 8.6%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$27,047 Vol.
$27,047 Vol.
Eduardo Gomes
76%
Alexandre Guimarães
10%
Gaguim
9%
Paulo Mourão
1%
Eli Borges
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Tocantins’s October 4 Senate election, consistent with repeated polling showing him ahead of a crowded field of 13 registered candidates. As the incumbent seeking re-election, Gomes benefits from established name recognition and party infrastructure, while recent August surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest place him first, typically in the mid-teens to mid-20s percent range amid high undecided shares exceeding 30 percent. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Gaguim (União) trail as the clearest challengers in those surveys, with the remaining contenders—including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão—registering single-digit support or less. The fragmented ballot and single-round, two-seat format reinforce Gomes’s positioning, though substantial undecided voters leave room for late shifts before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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