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icon for Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 2° posto

Bia Kicis 43.5%

Leila do Vôlei 42%

Erika Kokay <1%

Michelle Bolsonaro <1%

Polymarket

$43,431 Vol.

Bia Kicis 43.5%

Leila do Vôlei 42%

Erika Kokay <1%

Michelle Bolsonaro <1%

Polymarket

$43,431 Vol.

icon for Bia Kicis

Bia Kicis

$10,838 Vol.

55%

icon for Leila do Vôlei

Leila do Vôlei

$15,322 Vol.

35%

icon for Erika Kokay

Erika Kokay

$6,662 Vol.

1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$4,711 Vol.

<1%

icon for Avenir Rosa

Avenir Rosa

$437 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Horn

David Horn

$2,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Guto Felício dos Santos

Guto Felício dos Santos

$381 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marley

Marley

$392 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Guilherme Amorim

Professor Guilherme Amorim

$878 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Fonseca

Ronaldo Fonseca

$407 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastião Coelho

Sebastião Coelho

$381 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tiago

Tiago

$546 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zanata

Zanata

$417 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Bia Kicis (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the October 4 Federal District Senate election at 63.1%, reflecting her position as the stronger second-preference option behind running mate Michelle Bolsonaro on the PL slate. Recent Datafolha polling shows Michelle at 21% overall, with Bia rising to 15% and leading second-vote intentions at 21%, while incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT) sits at 18% and Erika Kokay (PT) at 14%. The PL's coordinated campaign and cross-endorsements within the broader right-leaning coalition have boosted Bia’s positioning as voters split their two Senate choices. Lower-priced names such as Leila and Erika face tighter competition for the remaining spot, with most other registered candidates polling below 2% and limited recent momentum. The race remains open with three weeks until voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$43,431
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Bia Kicis (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the October 4 Federal District Senate election at 63.1%, reflecting her position as the stronger second-preference option behind running mate Michelle Bolsonaro on the PL slate. Recent Datafolha polling shows Michelle at 21% overall, with Bia rising to 15% and leading second-vote intentions at 21%, while incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT) sits at 18% and Erika Kokay (PT) at 14%. The PL's coordinated campaign and cross-endorsements within the broader right-leaning coalition have boosted Bia’s positioning as voters split their two Senate choices. Lower-priced names such as Leila and Erika face tighter competition for the remaining spot, with most other registered candidates polling below 2% and limited recent momentum. The race remains open with three weeks until voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$43,431
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Michelle Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

85%
Sì
icon for André do Prado otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

André do Prado otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

46%
Sì
icon for Capitão Alberto Neto otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato dell'Amazonas del 2026?

Capitão Alberto Neto otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato dell'Amazonas del 2026?

70%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Bia Kicis" a 55%, seguito da "Leila do Vôlei" a 35%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 55¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 2° posto" ha generato $43.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 2° posto", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 2° posto" è "Bia Kicis" a 55%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Leila do Vôlei" a 35%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.