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icon for Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto

Deltan Dallagnol 48%

Alexandre Curi 27%

Filipe Barros 27%

Gleisi <1%

Polymarket

$46,872 Vol.

Deltan Dallagnol 48%

Alexandre Curi 27%

Filipe Barros 27%

Gleisi <1%

Polymarket

$46,872 Vol.

icon for Deltan Dallagnol

Deltan Dallagnol

$23,238 Vol.

48%

icon for Alexandre Curi

Alexandre Curi

$10,328 Vol.

27%

icon for Filipe Barros

Filipe Barros

$7,566 Vol.

27%

icon for Gleisi

Gleisi

$2,070 Vol.

1%

icon for Dr. Rosinha

Dr. Rosinha

$603 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karen Guerreiro

Karen Guerreiro

$1,019 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Marcelino

Marcelo Marcelino

$877 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cristina Reis Graeml

Cristina Reis Graeml

$618 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joaquim do MLB

Joaquim do MLB

$553 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field for Paraná's two Senate seats on October 4 features vote fragmentation among right-leaning contenders including Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Cristina Graeml (PSD), alongside lower support for Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) and minor candidates. Recent validation of Dallagnol's registration by the TRE/PR on a 4-3 vote has lifted his implied probability relative to others, though an appeal to the TSE introduces ongoing eligibility uncertainty. Polling from mid-2026 showed technical ties among the leading quartet, with no dominant frontrunner emerging. Developments such as party alliances, turnout patterns in key regions, or last-minute legal rulings on candidacies could consolidate support and widen gaps ahead of election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,872
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field for Paraná's two Senate seats on October 4 features vote fragmentation among right-leaning contenders including Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Cristina Graeml (PSD), alongside lower support for Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) and minor candidates. Recent validation of Dallagnol's registration by the TRE/PR on a 4-3 vote has lifted his implied probability relative to others, though an appeal to the TSE introduces ongoing eligibility uncertainty. Polling from mid-2026 showed technical ties among the leading quartet, with no dominant frontrunner emerging. Developments such as party alliances, turnout patterns in key regions, or last-minute legal rulings on candidacies could consolidate support and widen gaps ahead of election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,872
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Filipe Barros otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Paraná del 2026?

Filipe Barros otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Paraná del 2026?

42%
Sì
icon for Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

71%
icon for André do Prado otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

André do Prado otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

44%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Deltan Dallagnol" a 48%, seguito da "Alexandre Curi" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 48¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto" ha generato $46.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto" è "Deltan Dallagnol" a 48%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Alexandre Curi" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.