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icon for Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto

Marcelo Crivella 60.3%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Pedro Paulo 15.2%

Carlos Jordy 14%

Polymarket

$53,686 Vol.

Marcelo Crivella 60.3%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Pedro Paulo 15.2%

Carlos Jordy 14%

Polymarket

$53,686 Vol.

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$7,996 Vol.

60%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$9,522 Vol.

16%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$7,807 Vol.

10%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$11,248 Vol.

14%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$5,369 Vol.

4%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$1,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$2,064 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$896 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$1,292 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$2,185 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$1,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$533 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September positions Marcelo Crivella ahead in the contest for the second Senate seat, with Benedita da Silva maintaining a clearer lead for first. Quaest and Paraná surveys show Crivella at 8–20.5% in combined vote scenarios, narrowly ahead of or tied with Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho amid a crowded field of over a dozen candidates. High undecided and blank/null shares near 25–37% keep the outcome fluid less than a month before the October 4 vote. Crivella’s candidacy clearance by the TSE in August and his name recognition as a former mayor and senator underpin trader consensus around his 56.8% implied probability for second place, while the cluster of right-leaning contenders sustains uncertainty over who will separate.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$53,686
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September positions Marcelo Crivella ahead in the contest for the second Senate seat, with Benedita da Silva maintaining a clearer lead for first. Quaest and Paraná surveys show Crivella at 8–20.5% in combined vote scenarios, narrowly ahead of or tied with Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho amid a crowded field of over a dozen candidates. High undecided and blank/null shares near 25–37% keep the outcome fluid less than a month before the October 4 vote. Crivella’s candidacy clearance by the TSE in August and his name recognition as a former mayor and senator underpin trader consensus around his 56.8% implied probability for second place, while the cluster of right-leaning contenders sustains uncertainty over who will separate.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$53,686
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Benedita da Silva otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

Benedita da Silva otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

57%
Sì
icon for Manuela D'Ávila otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

Manuela D'Ávila otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

33%
Sì
icon for Zenaide Maia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

Zenaide Maia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

52%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 16 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marcelo Crivella" a 60%, seguito da "Benedita da Silva" a 17%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 60¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" ha generato $53.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto", esplora i 16 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" è "Marcelo Crivella" a 60%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Benedita da Silva" a 17%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.