Recent flash drought development across the South-Central United States, driven by prolonged hot, dry conditions through early September 2026, has expanded extreme and exceptional drought (D3–D4) areas on the U.S. Drought Monitor. As of the map valid through September 10, D4 conditions cover roughly 1.5% of the contiguous U.S., with isolated pockets now appearing in northwest Arkansas—marking the first such designation there since 2012—and lingering in western Oklahoma. The National Drought Mitigation Center, NOAA, and USDA synthesize precipitation deficits, soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation indices to classify D4 as the 0–2nd percentile of dryness. The next USDM release on September 17 will incorporate data through mid-September, with any late-week rainfall potentially limiting further degradation before the week-of-September 15 assessment period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSiccità eccezionale (D4) per stato — settimana del 15 settembre 2026

Alabama
3%

Arizona
6%

Arkansas
93%

California
6%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
<1%

Florida
6%

Georgia
5%

Idaho
63%

Illinois
5%

Indiana
20%

Iowa
5%

Kansas
7%

Kentucky
4%

Louisiana
26%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
26%

Mississippi
80%

Missouri
7%

Montana
7%

Nebraska
63%

Nevada
92%

New Jersey
3%

New Mexico
94%

Carolina del Nord
63%

North Dakota
26%

Ohio
3%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregon
84%

Pennsylvania
23%

Carolina del Sud
37%

South Dakota
24%

Tennessee
2%

Texas
82%

Utah
63%

Virginia
26%

Washington
5%

Virginia Occidentale
2%

Wisconsin
3%

Wyoming
39%
$6,438 Vol.

Alabama
3%

Arizona
6%

Arkansas
93%

California
6%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
<1%

Florida
6%

Georgia
5%

Idaho
63%

Illinois
5%

Indiana
20%

Iowa
5%

Kansas
7%

Kentucky
4%

Louisiana
26%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
26%

Mississippi
80%

Missouri
7%

Montana
7%

Nebraska
63%

Nevada
92%

New Jersey
3%

New Mexico
94%

Carolina del Nord
63%

North Dakota
26%

Ohio
3%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregon
84%

Pennsylvania
23%

Carolina del Sud
37%

South Dakota
24%

Tennessee
2%

Texas
82%

Utah
63%

Virginia
26%

Washington
5%

Virginia Occidentale
2%

Wisconsin
3%

Wyoming
39%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRisolutore
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent flash drought development across the South-Central United States, driven by prolonged hot, dry conditions through early September 2026, has expanded extreme and exceptional drought (D3–D4) areas on the U.S. Drought Monitor. As of the map valid through September 10, D4 conditions cover roughly 1.5% of the contiguous U.S., with isolated pockets now appearing in northwest Arkansas—marking the first such designation there since 2012—and lingering in western Oklahoma. The National Drought Mitigation Center, NOAA, and USDA synthesize precipitation deficits, soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation indices to classify D4 as the 0–2nd percentile of dryness. The next USDM release on September 17 will incorporate data through mid-September, with any late-week rainfall potentially limiting further degradation before the week-of-September 15 assessment period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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