Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light southerly winds, and a daytime high near 34°C on September 14, supporting the market's strong 65% implied probability for that exact outcome. Consensus points to afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under stable high pressure, with limited model spread and negligible precipitation risk keeping upside capped near 35°C. This aligns with seasonal patterns where September highs average about 27°C but recent warmth has pushed readings higher, though still well below the 34.4°C date record. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast window and lack of late-day cooling against minor uncertainty in exact maximum timing, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 14 settembre?
34°C 63%
35°C 32%
33°C 5%
36°C 1.9%
NUOVO
$19,137 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,137 Vol.
14 set 2026
29°C o meno
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
63%
35°C
32%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o superiore
<1%
34°C 63%
35°C 32%
33°C 5%
36°C 1.9%
NUOVO
$19,137 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,137 Vol.
14 set 2026
29°C o meno
$238 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,201 Vol.
1%
31°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$733 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,845 Vol.
5%
34°C
$4,987 Vol.
63%
35°C
$6,275 Vol.
32%
36°C
$1,187 Vol.
2%
37°C
$821 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
39°C o superiore
$236 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light southerly winds, and a daytime high near 34°C on September 14, supporting the market's strong 65% implied probability for that exact outcome. Consensus points to afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under stable high pressure, with limited model spread and negligible precipitation risk keeping upside capped near 35°C. This aligns with seasonal patterns where September highs average about 27°C but recent warmth has pushed readings higher, though still well below the 34.4°C date record. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast window and lack of late-day cooling against minor uncertainty in exact maximum timing, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$19,137Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light southerly winds, and a daytime high near 34°C on September 14, supporting the market's strong 65% implied probability for that exact outcome. Consensus points to afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under stable high pressure, with limited model spread and negligible precipitation risk keeping upside capped near 35°C. This aligns with seasonal patterns where September highs average about 27°C but recent warmth has pushed readings higher, though still well below the 34.4°C date record. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast window and lack of late-day cooling against minor uncertainty in exact maximum timing, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,137Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light southerly winds, and a daytime high near 34°C on September 14, supporting the market's strong 65% implied probability for that exact outcome. Consensus points to afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under stable high pressure, with limited model spread and negligible precipitation risk keeping upside capped near 35°C. This aligns with seasonal patterns where September highs average about 27°C but recent warmth has pushed readings higher, though still well below the 34.4°C date record. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast window and lack of late-day cooling against minor uncertainty in exact maximum timing, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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