Recent official forecasts from sources including the GFS model indicate a high near 19–20°C in Toronto on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and building high pressure that limits daytime heating. This setup produces cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 22°C climatological normal, with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected to alter the maximum. Model consensus remains tight across runs, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C at 54% implied probability and 19°C at 29.5%, while lower odds for 21°C or above reflect limited upside potential absent a forecast shift. Updated model guidance and overnight observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Toronto il 14 settembre?
20°C 52%
19°C 30%
21°C 12%
18°C 5%
$12,966 Vol.
$12,966 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
30%
20°C
52%
21°C
12%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 52%
19°C 30%
21°C 12%
18°C 5%
$12,966 Vol.
$12,966 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
30%
20°C
52%
21°C
12%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the GFS model indicate a high near 19–20°C in Toronto on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and building high pressure that limits daytime heating. This setup produces cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 22°C climatological normal, with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected to alter the maximum. Model consensus remains tight across runs, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C at 54% implied probability and 19°C at 29.5%, while lower odds for 21°C or above reflect limited upside potential absent a forecast shift. Updated model guidance and overnight observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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