**Recent hot and dry conditions across the southern Plains, Midwest, and parts of the South have driven rapid drought intensification, pushing exceptional (D4) drought into additional states according to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor assessments.** As of early September 2026 data, D4 coverage remains limited nationally (around 1.5% of the U.S. area) but has expanded notably, with Arkansas seeing its first D4 designations since 2012 amid extreme dryness and heat. The USDM, produced jointly by NOAA, USDA, and partners, classifies D4 based on the lowest 2nd percentile of historical conditions for precipitation, soil moisture, and streamflow. Trader consensus heavily favors 10 or more states showing any D4 area for the week of September 15, reflecting ongoing flash-drought dynamics and limited near-term relief in key regions, with the next weekly map release serving as the key near-term data point.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti stati saranno in D4 (siccità eccezionale) — settimana del 15 settembre 2026?
Quanti stati saranno in D4 (siccità eccezionale) — settimana del 15 settembre 2026?
10 o più stati 83%
3-4 stati 37%
5-6 stati 37%
7-9 stati 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
0 stati
37%
1-2 stati
37%
3-4 stati
37%
5-6 stati
37%
7-9 stati
37%
10 o più stati
83%
10 o più stati 83%
3-4 stati 37%
5-6 stati 37%
7-9 stati 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
0 stati
$21 Vol.
37%
1-2 stati
$0 Vol.
37%
3-4 stati
$0 Vol.
37%
5-6 stati
$0 Vol.
37%
7-9 stati
$0 Vol.
37%
10 o più stati
$0 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Recent hot and dry conditions across the southern Plains, Midwest, and parts of the South have driven rapid drought intensification, pushing exceptional (D4) drought into additional states according to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor assessments.**
As of early September 2026 data, D4 coverage remains limited nationally (around 1.5% of the U.S. area) but has expanded notably, with Arkansas seeing its first D4 designations since 2012 amid extreme dryness and heat. The USDM, produced jointly by NOAA, USDA, and partners, classifies D4 based on the lowest 2nd percentile of historical conditions for precipitation, soil moisture, and streamflow. Trader consensus heavily favors 10 or more states showing any D4 area for the week of September 15, reflecting ongoing flash-drought dynamics and limited near-term relief in key regions, with the next weekly map release serving as the key near-term data point.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Volume
$21Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Recent hot and dry conditions across the southern Plains, Midwest, and parts of the South have driven rapid drought intensification, pushing exceptional (D4) drought into additional states according to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor assessments.**
As of early September 2026 data, D4 coverage remains limited nationally (around 1.5% of the U.S. area) but has expanded notably, with Arkansas seeing its first D4 designations since 2012 amid extreme dryness and heat. The USDM, produced jointly by NOAA, USDA, and partners, classifies D4 based on the lowest 2nd percentile of historical conditions for precipitation, soil moisture, and streamflow. Trader consensus heavily favors 10 or more states showing any D4 area for the week of September 15, reflecting ongoing flash-drought dynamics and limited near-term relief in key regions, with the next weekly map release serving as the key near-term data point.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$21Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent hot and dry conditions across the southern Plains, Midwest, and parts of the South have driven rapid drought intensification, pushing exceptional (D4) drought into additional states according to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor assessments.** As of early September 2026 data, D4 coverage remains limited nationally (around 1.5% of the U.S. area) but has expanded notably, with Arkansas seeing its first D4 designations since 2012 amid extreme dryness and heat. The USDM, produced jointly by NOAA, USDA, and partners, classifies D4 based on the lowest 2nd percentile of historical conditions for precipitation, soil moisture, and streamflow. Trader consensus heavily favors 10 or more states showing any D4 area for the week of September 15, reflecting ongoing flash-drought dynamics and limited near-term relief in key regions, with the next weekly map release serving as the key near-term data point.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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