Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a daytime maximum of 20–21°C for Munich on September 14, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and limited afternoon solar heating. This aligns with the historical average high of 19.8°C and current observations showing temperatures climbing through the mid-teens Celsius by midday. The market-implied probabilities favoring 21°C and 22°C reflect trader assessment of these conditions, where modest warming from mild Atlantic air is offset by persistent cloud cover and a 15–40% chance of light showers that could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 14 settembre?
21°C 68%
22°C 29%
23°C 2%
24°C o superiore <1%
$42,670 Vol.
$42,670 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
68%
22°C
29%
23°C
2%
24°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 68%
22°C 29%
23°C 2%
24°C o superiore <1%
$42,670 Vol.
$42,670 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
68%
22°C
29%
23°C
2%
24°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a daytime maximum of 20–21°C for Munich on September 14, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and limited afternoon solar heating. This aligns with the historical average high of 19.8°C and current observations showing temperatures climbing through the mid-teens Celsius by midday. The market-implied probabilities favoring 21°C and 22°C reflect trader assessment of these conditions, where modest warming from mild Atlantic air is offset by persistent cloud cover and a 15–40% chance of light showers that could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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