Marcelo Castro maintains a modest edge in trader consensus for first place in Piauí’s two-seat Senate race, reflecting his repeated leads in mid-2026 polling from institutes such as Amostragem and AtlasIntel, where he outpaces Ciro Nogueira and Júlio César in first-preference and consolidated vote scenarios. These surveys highlight Castro’s lower rejection ratings compared with Nogueira, alongside strong support from the MDB-aligned base and alliances with the state government. The field of over twenty registered candidates remains fragmented, with most trailing far behind, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares keep the outcome fluid ahead of October voting. Recent convention formalizations have locked in the main contenders without major shifts, leaving room for late-campaign momentum or turnout differences among key voting blocs to influence final positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni al Senato del Piauí: 1° posto
Elezioni al Senato del Piauí: 1° posto
Marcelo Castro 54%
Ciro Nogueira 30%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,672 Vol.
$39,672 Vol.
Marcelo Castro
54%
Ciro Nogueira
30%
Julio Cesar
11%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Marcelo Castro 54%
Ciro Nogueira 30%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,672 Vol.
$39,672 Vol.
Marcelo Castro
54%
Ciro Nogueira
30%
Julio Cesar
11%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Marcelo Castro maintains a modest edge in trader consensus for first place in Piauí’s two-seat Senate race, reflecting his repeated leads in mid-2026 polling from institutes such as Amostragem and AtlasIntel, where he outpaces Ciro Nogueira and Júlio César in first-preference and consolidated vote scenarios. These surveys highlight Castro’s lower rejection ratings compared with Nogueira, alongside strong support from the MDB-aligned base and alliances with the state government. The field of over twenty registered candidates remains fragmented, with most trailing far behind, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares keep the outcome fluid ahead of October voting. Recent convention formalizations have locked in the main contenders without major shifts, leaving room for late-campaign momentum or turnout differences among key voting blocs to influence final positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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