**Unity, the minor party associated with former Likud minister Gilad Erdan and linked to the remnants of Blue and White, faces negligible support ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** Recent polls from early September place it at 0.1–0.2% or list it among parties failing the 3.25% electoral threshold, consistent with its withdrawal from the race around September 4. Vote fragmentation has concentrated support among larger opposition lists such as Yashar (Eisenkot) and Together (Bennett-Lapid), as well as established parties like Likud, leaving little room for smaller centrist or independent slates. The September 8 candidate-list deadline locked in this positioning, with no major last-minute developments reported to reverse the trend. Trader consensus for under 0.5% reflects these sustained low figures across multiple surveys. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen merger, late endorsement surge, or turnout anomaly, though historical patterns and current polling averages make such outcomes improbable within the remaining campaign window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<0,5% 94.3%
0,5-0,75% 1.1%
0,75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<0,5%
94%
0,5-0,75%
1%
0,75-1%
1%
1-2%
1%
2%+
<1%
<0,5% 94.3%
0,5-0,75% 1.1%
0,75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<0,5%
$534 Vol.
94%
0,5-0,75%
$162 Vol.
1%
0,75-1%
$109 Vol.
1%
1-2%
$112 Vol.
1%
2%+
$176 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Unity, the minor party associated with former Likud minister Gilad Erdan and linked to the remnants of Blue and White, faces negligible support ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** Recent polls from early September place it at 0.1–0.2% or list it among parties failing the 3.25% electoral threshold, consistent with its withdrawal from the race around September 4. Vote fragmentation has concentrated support among larger opposition lists such as Yashar (Eisenkot) and Together (Bennett-Lapid), as well as established parties like Likud, leaving little room for smaller centrist or independent slates. The September 8 candidate-list deadline locked in this positioning, with no major last-minute developments reported to reverse the trend. Trader consensus for under 0.5% reflects these sustained low figures across multiple surveys. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen merger, late endorsement surge, or turnout anomaly, though historical patterns and current polling averages make such outcomes improbable within the remaining campaign window.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,093Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Unity, the minor party associated with former Likud minister Gilad Erdan and linked to the remnants of Blue and White, faces negligible support ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** Recent polls from early September place it at 0.1–0.2% or list it among parties failing the 3.25% electoral threshold, consistent with its withdrawal from the race around September 4. Vote fragmentation has concentrated support among larger opposition lists such as Yashar (Eisenkot) and Together (Bennett-Lapid), as well as established parties like Likud, leaving little room for smaller centrist or independent slates. The September 8 candidate-list deadline locked in this positioning, with no major last-minute developments reported to reverse the trend. Trader consensus for under 0.5% reflects these sustained low figures across multiple surveys. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen merger, late endorsement surge, or turnout anomaly, though historical patterns and current polling averages make such outcomes improbable within the remaining campaign window.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$1,093Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Unity, the minor party associated with former Likud minister Gilad Erdan and linked to the remnants of Blue and White, faces negligible support ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** Recent polls from early September place it at 0.1–0.2% or list it among parties failing the 3.25% electoral threshold, consistent with its withdrawal from the race around September 4. Vote fragmentation has concentrated support among larger opposition lists such as Yashar (Eisenkot) and Together (Bennett-Lapid), as well as established parties like Likud, leaving little room for smaller centrist or independent slates. The September 8 candidate-list deadline locked in this positioning, with no major last-minute developments reported to reverse the trend. Trader consensus for under 0.5% reflects these sustained low figures across multiple surveys. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen merger, late endorsement surge, or turnout anomaly, though historical patterns and current polling averages make such outcomes improbable within the remaining campaign window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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