Recent polling in Piauí shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB), Júlio César (PSD), and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios. High undecided shares and blank/null intentions keep the ordering fluid, while Júlio César’s strength as a second-preference option and Castro’s consistent first-vote lead sustain close probabilities for second place. Elevated rejection for Ciro Nogueira limits his upside relative to the other two. The October 4 vote, combined with ongoing coalition alignments around Governor Rafael Fonteles, will determine final separation among these frontrunners and the long tail of lower-polling candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni al Senato del Piauí: 2° posto
Elezioni al Senato del Piauí: 2° posto
Julio Cesar 35.0%
Marcelo Castro 31.8%
Ciro Nogueira 12%
Tiago Junqueira 5.1%
$42,854 Vol.
$42,854 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Julio Cesar
35%
Marcelo Castro
32%
Ciro Nogueira
12%
Tiago Junqueira
5%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Maggiore Paulo Roberto
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Pastore Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Julio Cesar 35.0%
Marcelo Castro 31.8%
Ciro Nogueira 12%
Tiago Junqueira 5.1%
$42,854 Vol.
$42,854 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Julio Cesar
$6,246 Vol.
35%
Marcelo Castro
$8,189 Vol.
32%
Ciro Nogueira
$14,946 Vol.
12%
Tiago Junqueira
$1,226 Vol.
5%
Toinho Dufrango
$782 Vol.
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
$818 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Mariano
$774 Vol.
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
$766 Vol.
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
$756 Vol.
<1%
Cloves José
$804 Vol.
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
$762 Vol.
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
$785 Vol.
<1%
Antônio José Lira
$778 Vol.
<1%
Maggiore Paulo Roberto
$782 Vol.
<1%
Antônio Barros
$730 Vol.
<1%
Danniel Rocha
$759 Vol.
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
$785 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Lopes
$643 Vol.
<1%
Pastore Sena
$791 Vol.
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
$732 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Piauí shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB), Júlio César (PSD), and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios. High undecided shares and blank/null intentions keep the ordering fluid, while Júlio César’s strength as a second-preference option and Castro’s consistent first-vote lead sustain close probabilities for second place. Elevated rejection for Ciro Nogueira limits his upside relative to the other two. The October 4 vote, combined with ongoing coalition alignments around Governor Rafael Fonteles, will determine final separation among these frontrunners and the long tail of lower-polling candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$42,854Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Piauí shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB), Júlio César (PSD), and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios. High undecided shares and blank/null intentions keep the ordering fluid, while Júlio César’s strength as a second-preference option and Castro’s consistent first-vote lead sustain close probabilities for second place. Elevated rejection for Ciro Nogueira limits his upside relative to the other two. The October 4 vote, combined with ongoing coalition alignments around Governor Rafael Fonteles, will determine final separation among these frontrunners and the long tail of lower-polling candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$42,854Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Piauí shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB), Júlio César (PSD), and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered near the top in first- and second-vote scenarios. High undecided shares and blank/null intentions keep the ordering fluid, while Júlio César’s strength as a second-preference option and Castro’s consistent first-vote lead sustain close probabilities for second place. Elevated rejection for Ciro Nogueira limits his upside relative to the other two. The October 4 vote, combined with ongoing coalition alignments around Governor Rafael Fonteles, will determine final separation among these frontrunners and the long tail of lower-polling candidates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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