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icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto

icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto

Humberto Costa 43%

Mendonça Filho 42%

Marília Arraes 13.3%

Túlio Gadêlha 2.8%

Polymarket

$31,094 Vol.

Humberto Costa 43%

Mendonça Filho 42%

Marília Arraes 13.3%

Túlio Gadêlha 2.8%

Polymarket

$31,094 Vol.

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$10,112 Vol.

43%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$8,246 Vol.

42%

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$5,337 Vol.

13%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$1,430 Vol.

3%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$1,511 Vol.

2%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$806 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$773 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$433 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pernambuco Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the October 4 election, recent Quaest polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) narrowly ahead at 17%, followed by Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, within the margin of error and reflecting a tight contest among the leaders. High levels of undecided voters and blank or null ballots sustain uncertainty over final positioning. Trader consensus places Humberto Costa and Mendonça Filho as the most probable for second place, consistent with their established bases, coalition support, and prior electoral experience in the state. Further polling releases or campaign developments on key issues such as security could alter the narrow gaps among the top contenders before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$31,094
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pernambuco Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the October 4 election, recent Quaest polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) narrowly ahead at 17%, followed by Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, within the margin of error and reflecting a tight contest among the leaders. High levels of undecided voters and blank or null ballots sustain uncertainty over final positioning. Trader consensus places Humberto Costa and Mendonça Filho as the most probable for second place, consistent with their established bases, coalition support, and prior electoral experience in the state. Further polling releases or campaign developments on key issues such as security could alter the narrow gaps among the top contenders before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$31,094
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

72%
icon for Veneziano otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni al Senato del Paraíba del 2026?

Veneziano otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni al Senato del Paraíba del 2026?

60%
Sì
icon for Leila do Vôlei otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Leila do Vôlei otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

54%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Humberto Costa" a 43%, seguito da "Mendonça Filho" a 42%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 43¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto" ha generato $31.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto" è "Humberto Costa" a 43%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Mendonça Filho" a 42%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.