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icon for Elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 1° posto

Benedita da Silva 66%

Marcelo Crivella 23.8%

Carlos Jordy 8%

Carlos Portinho 5.6%

Polymarket

$46,745 Vol.

Benedita da Silva 66%

Marcelo Crivella 23.8%

Carlos Jordy 8%

Carlos Portinho 5.6%

Polymarket

$46,745 Vol.

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$17,333 Vol.

66%

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$4,886 Vol.

24%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$10,132 Vol.

8%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$3,286 Vol.

6%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$2,432 Vol.

3%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$1,630 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$816 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$375 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$763 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$887 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$671 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$843 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$845 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$707 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,745
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,745
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Marcelo Crivella otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

Marcelo Crivella otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

56%
Sì
icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

53%
icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

73%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 16 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Benedita da Silva" a 66%, seguito da "Marcelo Crivella" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 66¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 66% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 1° posto" ha generato $46.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 1° posto", esplora i 16 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 1° posto" è "Benedita da Silva" a 66%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 66% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Marcelo Crivella" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni per il Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.