**Nick LaLota maintains a strong position as the two-term Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+4 partisan voter index.** He secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the June 23 primaries and holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.8 million. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and Army National Guard Black Hawk pilot, won his primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in this district and limited evidence of a competitive shift since the primaries. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-01
$42,372 Vol.
$42,372 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
73%
Chris Gallant (D)
27%
$42,372 Vol.
$42,372 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
$16,306 Vol.
73%
Chris Gallant (D)
$26,065 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Nick LaLota maintains a strong position as the two-term Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+4 partisan voter index.** He secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the June 23 primaries and holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.8 million. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and Army National Guard Black Hawk pilot, won his primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in this district and limited evidence of a competitive shift since the primaries. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$42,372Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Nick LaLota maintains a strong position as the two-term Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+4 partisan voter index.** He secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the June 23 primaries and holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.8 million. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and Army National Guard Black Hawk pilot, won his primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in this district and limited evidence of a competitive shift since the primaries. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,372Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Nick LaLota maintains a strong position as the two-term Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+4 partisan voter index.** He secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the June 23 primaries and holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.8 million. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and Army National Guard Black Hawk pilot, won his primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in this district and limited evidence of a competitive shift since the primaries. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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