Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York's 6th congressional district due to its solidly Democratic lean, consistent with ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters, combined with her long tenure since 2013 and strong primary performance against a challenger in June 2026. The Queens-based district features a plurality Asian-American electorate and has delivered comfortable margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Meng's 2024 reelection. Republican nominee Joseph Chou, running unopposed in his primary after a prior bid, trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in these probabilities aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-06 House Election Winner
NY-06 House Election Winner
$21,609 Vol.
$21,609 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Grace Meng (D)
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
6%
$21,609 Vol.
$21,609 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Grace Meng (D)
$10,037 Vol.
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
$11,572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York's 6th congressional district due to its solidly Democratic lean, consistent with ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters, combined with her long tenure since 2013 and strong primary performance against a challenger in June 2026. The Queens-based district features a plurality Asian-American electorate and has delivered comfortable margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Meng's 2024 reelection. Republican nominee Joseph Chou, running unopposed in his primary after a prior bid, trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in these probabilities aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$21,609Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York's 6th congressional district due to its solidly Democratic lean, consistent with ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters, combined with her long tenure since 2013 and strong primary performance against a challenger in June 2026. The Queens-based district features a plurality Asian-American electorate and has delivered comfortable margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Meng's 2024 reelection. Republican nominee Joseph Chou, running unopposed in his primary after a prior bid, trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in these probabilities aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,609Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York's 6th congressional district due to its solidly Democratic lean, consistent with ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters, combined with her long tenure since 2013 and strong primary performance against a challenger in June 2026. The Queens-based district features a plurality Asian-American electorate and has delivered comfortable margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Meng's 2024 reelection. Republican nominee Joseph Chou, running unopposed in his primary after a prior bid, trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in these probabilities aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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