Incumbent Republican Chris Smith maintains a dominant position in New Jersey’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his decades-long tenure. The district, covering parts of Monmouth and Ocean counties along the Jersey Shore, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has been rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Smith, seeking a 24th term after winning 67.4% in 2024, faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Rachel Peace secured her nomination in June. Smith’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his reelection. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural advantages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-04 House Election Winner
NJ-04 House Election Winner
$19,141 Vol.
$19,141 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chris Smith (R)
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
5%
$19,141 Vol.
$19,141 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chris Smith (R)
$6,168 Vol.
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
$12,973 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chris Smith maintains a dominant position in New Jersey’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his decades-long tenure. The district, covering parts of Monmouth and Ocean counties along the Jersey Shore, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has been rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Smith, seeking a 24th term after winning 67.4% in 2024, faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Rachel Peace secured her nomination in June. Smith’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his reelection. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$19,141Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chris Smith maintains a dominant position in New Jersey’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his decades-long tenure. The district, covering parts of Monmouth and Ocean counties along the Jersey Shore, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has been rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Smith, seeking a 24th term after winning 67.4% in 2024, faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Rachel Peace secured her nomination in June. Smith’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his reelection. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,141Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Chris Smith maintains a dominant position in New Jersey’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his decades-long tenure. The district, covering parts of Monmouth and Ocean counties along the Jersey Shore, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has been rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Smith, seeking a 24th term after winning 67.4% in 2024, faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Rachel Peace secured her nomination in June. Smith’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his reelection. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural advantages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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