Trader consensus on an under-45 nominee for the 2028 Democratic presidential ticket reflects the rising visibility of younger contenders in early polling and prediction markets. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff have posted gains in recent surveys, including leads or near-leads in some state-level samples, while positioning themselves as potential standard-bearers after the 2026 midterms. Pete Buttigieg remains in the mix at the lower end of the next age band. With no formal declarations and the field still fluid, traders appear to price in the possibility that one of these younger figures consolidates support if established names such as Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom step aside or split the vote. Older governors and senators continue to register in national polls but trail in several market-implied scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEtà del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?
Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?
Sotto i 45 36%
45-54 29%
55-64 17%
85+ 5.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2028
Sotto i 45
43%
45-54
29%
55-64
18%
65-74
10%
75-84
5%
85+
5%
Sotto i 45 36%
45-54 29%
55-64 17%
85+ 5.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2028
Sotto i 45
$1,024 Vol.
43%
45-54
$805 Vol.
29%
55-64
$247 Vol.
18%
65-74
$144 Vol.
10%
75-84
$135 Vol.
5%
85+
$148 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus on an under-45 nominee for the 2028 Democratic presidential ticket reflects the rising visibility of younger contenders in early polling and prediction markets. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff have posted gains in recent surveys, including leads or near-leads in some state-level samples, while positioning themselves as potential standard-bearers after the 2026 midterms. Pete Buttigieg remains in the mix at the lower end of the next age band. With no formal declarations and the field still fluid, traders appear to price in the possibility that one of these younger figures consolidates support if established names such as Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom step aside or split the vote. Older governors and senators continue to register in national polls but trail in several market-implied scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Volume
$2,502Data di fine
31 ago 2028Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus on an under-45 nominee for the 2028 Democratic presidential ticket reflects the rising visibility of younger contenders in early polling and prediction markets. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff have posted gains in recent surveys, including leads or near-leads in some state-level samples, while positioning themselves as potential standard-bearers after the 2026 midterms. Pete Buttigieg remains in the mix at the lower end of the next age band. With no formal declarations and the field still fluid, traders appear to price in the possibility that one of these younger figures consolidates support if established names such as Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom step aside or split the vote. Older governors and senators continue to register in national polls but trail in several market-implied scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$2,502Data di fine
31 ago 2028Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on an under-45 nominee for the 2028 Democratic presidential ticket reflects the rising visibility of younger contenders in early polling and prediction markets. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff have posted gains in recent surveys, including leads or near-leads in some state-level samples, while positioning themselves as potential standard-bearers after the 2026 midterms. Pete Buttigieg remains in the mix at the lower end of the next age band. With no formal declarations and the field still fluid, traders appear to price in the possibility that one of these younger figures consolidates support if established names such as Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom step aside or split the vote. Older governors and senators continue to register in national polls but trail in several market-implied scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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