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icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Etiopia?

Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Etiopia?

icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Etiopia?

Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Etiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 96.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Gedion Timothewos <1%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Polymarket

$285,817,973 Vol.

Abiy Ahmed 96.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Gedion Timothewos <1%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Polymarket

$285,817,973 Vol.

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$143,329 Vol.

97%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$32,288,756 Vol.

1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$55,933,718 Vol.

1%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$29,699,562 Vol.

1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$13,577,280 Vol.

1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$41,422,322 Vol.

1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$83,454,458 Vol.

<1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$29,298,548 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party secured a landslide victory in Ethiopia’s June 2026 parliamentary election, winning 438 of the contested seats and a clear majority in the House of Peoples’ Representatives despite incomplete voting in Tigray and parts of Amhara and Oromia due to security concerns. This outcome, driven by the party’s emphasis on projected economic growth exceeding 10 percent and improved food security, positions the incumbent for re-election by parliament in October under the country’s constitutional process. Fragmented opposition parties captured only limited seats, leaving no viable parliamentary path for alternatives such as Gedion Timothewos or Berhanu Nega. Persistent insurgencies in Amhara and Oromia, along with Tigray’s exclusion, highlight ongoing stability risks that could affect future transitions, though current legislative control leaves little room for near-term shifts absent major unforeseen developments.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$285,817,973
Data di fine
1 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party secured a landslide victory in Ethiopia’s June 2026 parliamentary election, winning 438 of the contested seats and a clear majority in the House of Peoples’ Representatives despite incomplete voting in Tigray and parts of Amhara and Oromia due to security concerns. This outcome, driven by the party’s emphasis on projected economic growth exceeding 10 percent and improved food security, positions the incumbent for re-election by parliament in October under the country’s constitutional process. Fragmented opposition parties captured only limited seats, leaving no viable parliamentary path for alternatives such as Gedion Timothewos or Berhanu Nega. Persistent insurgencies in Amhara and Oromia, along with Tigray’s exclusion, highlight ongoing stability risks that could affect future transitions, though current legislative control leaves little room for near-term shifts absent major unforeseen developments.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$285,817,973
Data di fine
1 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Etiopia?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Abiy Ahmed" a 97%, seguito da "Gedion Timothewos" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Etiopia?" ha generato $285.8 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 27, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Etiopia?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Etiopia?" è "Abiy Ahmed" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Gedion Timothewos" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Etiopia?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.