Augusto Cury’s first-round vote share remains tightly contested between the 2–4% and 4–6% brackets as the October 4 election approaches. The psychiatrist and author surged from low single digits in August to double digits in early September polls after social media growth and television exposure positioned him as a third-way option for voters dissatisfied with the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Recent surveys show stabilization or modest retreat to 3.5–7%, with Cury tied or slightly ahead of Renan Santos in most but trailing in AtlasIntel. High voter indecision, limited party infrastructure, and competition among non-major candidates have kept support fluid. Final campaign advertising, shifts among conservative voters, and any late momentum in digital reach could widen or narrow his share before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2-4% 36%
4-6% 35%
6%+ 22%
1-2% 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
<1%
4%
1-2%
7%
2-4%
36%
4-6%
41%
6%+
22%
2-4% 36%
4-6% 35%
6%+ 22%
1-2% 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
<1%
$106 Vol.
4%
1-2%
$602 Vol.
7%
2-4%
$757 Vol.
36%
4-6%
$733 Vol.
41%
6%+
$7,187 Vol.
22%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury’s first-round vote share remains tightly contested between the 2–4% and 4–6% brackets as the October 4 election approaches. The psychiatrist and author surged from low single digits in August to double digits in early September polls after social media growth and television exposure positioned him as a third-way option for voters dissatisfied with the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Recent surveys show stabilization or modest retreat to 3.5–7%, with Cury tied or slightly ahead of Renan Santos in most but trailing in AtlasIntel. High voter indecision, limited party infrastructure, and competition among non-major candidates have kept support fluid. Final campaign advertising, shifts among conservative voters, and any late momentum in digital reach could widen or narrow his share before ballots are cast.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ET
Volume
$9,384Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury’s first-round vote share remains tightly contested between the 2–4% and 4–6% brackets as the October 4 election approaches. The psychiatrist and author surged from low single digits in August to double digits in early September polls after social media growth and television exposure positioned him as a third-way option for voters dissatisfied with the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Recent surveys show stabilization or modest retreat to 3.5–7%, with Cury tied or slightly ahead of Renan Santos in most but trailing in AtlasIntel. High voter indecision, limited party infrastructure, and competition among non-major candidates have kept support fluid. Final campaign advertising, shifts among conservative voters, and any late momentum in digital reach could widen or narrow his share before ballots are cast.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,384Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Augusto Cury’s first-round vote share remains tightly contested between the 2–4% and 4–6% brackets as the October 4 election approaches. The psychiatrist and author surged from low single digits in August to double digits in early September polls after social media growth and television exposure positioned him as a third-way option for voters dissatisfied with the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Recent surveys show stabilization or modest retreat to 3.5–7%, with Cury tied or slightly ahead of Renan Santos in most but trailing in AtlasIntel. High voter indecision, limited party infrastructure, and competition among non-major candidates have kept support fluid. Final campaign advertising, shifts among conservative voters, and any late momentum in digital reach could widen or narrow his share before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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