Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Elezioni in Nuova Zelanda: affluenza alle urne

Elezioni in Nuova Zelanda: affluenza alle urne

icon for Elezioni in Nuova Zelanda: affluenza alle urne

Elezioni in Nuova Zelanda: affluenza alle urne

78-80% 37%

76-78% 31%

80-82% 23.8%

<76% 5.0%

Polymarket

$20,181 Vol.

78-80% 37%

76-78% 31%

80-82% 23.8%

<76% 5.0%

Polymarket

$20,181 Vol.

<76%

$1,049 Vol.

5%

76-78%

$4,200 Vol.

31%

78-80%

$7,439 Vol.

37%

80-82%

$5,375 Vol.

24%

82-84%

$1,300 Vol.

1%

84%+

$818 Vol.

4%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Recent polling averages show the National-led coalition and opposition blocs nearly even in party support ahead of the November 7 election, with no dominant narrative of unusually high or low voter enthusiasm. Enrolment stands near 89 percent overall but has fallen sharply among younger voters, while the Electoral Commission continues standard outreach to boost participation before the October 25 deadline. Historical turnout of enrolled voters has clustered around 78 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader expectations near that level. Advance voting begins in late October, and final figures on special votes or weather on election day could shift outcomes. The narrow spread across the 76–82 percent brackets reflects this balance of steady baseline participation against typical late-cycle variables that have not yet produced clear separation.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$20,181
Data di fine
7 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Recent polling averages show the National-led coalition and opposition blocs nearly even in party support ahead of the November 7 election, with no dominant narrative of unusually high or low voter enthusiasm. Enrolment stands near 89 percent overall but has fallen sharply among younger voters, while the Electoral Commission continues standard outreach to boost participation before the October 25 deadline. Historical turnout of enrolled voters has clustered around 78 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader expectations near that level. Advance voting begins in late October, and final figures on special votes or weather on election day could shift outcomes. The narrow spread across the 76–82 percent brackets reflects this balance of steady baseline participation against typical late-cycle variables that have not yet produced clear separation.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$20,181
Data di fine
7 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni in Nuova Zelanda: affluenza alle urne" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "78-80%" a 37%, seguito da "76-78%" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 37¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 37% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni in Nuova Zelanda: affluenza alle urne" ha generato $20.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 29, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni in Nuova Zelanda: affluenza alle urne", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni in Nuova Zelanda: affluenza alle urne" è "78-80%" a 37%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 37% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "76-78%" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni in Nuova Zelanda: affluenza alle urne" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.