Recent polling for New Zealand's 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows a tight contest, with National and Labour both often below 30% party vote and minor parties such as ACT, New Zealand First, and the Greens capturing significant support. Latest surveys, including Taxpayers’ Union–Curia and RNZ–Reid Research, project narrow parliamentary majorities or hung outcomes depending on whether the right bloc (National–ACT–NZ First) or left bloc (Labour–Greens–Te Pāti Māori, sometimes with TOP) reaches the 62-seat threshold. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by volatility in these aggregates, historical precedent for late swings in New Zealand elections, and uncertainty over coalition negotiations that could determine which major party leads the next government.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 56%
National Party 44%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,433 Vol.
$59,433 Vol.
6 nov 2026
National Party
44%
Labour Party
56%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party 56%
National Party 44%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,433 Vol.
$59,433 Vol.
6 nov 2026
National Party
$24,281 Vol.
44%
Labour Party
$19,049 Vol.
56%
Green Party
$4,179 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$4,137 Vol.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$3,571 Vol.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$4,215 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand's 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows a tight contest, with National and Labour both often below 30% party vote and minor parties such as ACT, New Zealand First, and the Greens capturing significant support. Latest surveys, including Taxpayers’ Union–Curia and RNZ–Reid Research, project narrow parliamentary majorities or hung outcomes depending on whether the right bloc (National–ACT–NZ First) or left bloc (Labour–Greens–Te Pāti Māori, sometimes with TOP) reaches the 62-seat threshold. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by volatility in these aggregates, historical precedent for late swings in New Zealand elections, and uncertainty over coalition negotiations that could determine which major party leads the next government.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$59,433Data di fine
7 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand's 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows a tight contest, with National and Labour both often below 30% party vote and minor parties such as ACT, New Zealand First, and the Greens capturing significant support. Latest surveys, including Taxpayers’ Union–Curia and RNZ–Reid Research, project narrow parliamentary majorities or hung outcomes depending on whether the right bloc (National–ACT–NZ First) or left bloc (Labour–Greens–Te Pāti Māori, sometimes with TOP) reaches the 62-seat threshold. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by volatility in these aggregates, historical precedent for late swings in New Zealand elections, and uncertainty over coalition negotiations that could determine which major party leads the next government.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$59,433Data di fine
7 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand's 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows a tight contest, with National and Labour both often below 30% party vote and minor parties such as ACT, New Zealand First, and the Greens capturing significant support. Latest surveys, including Taxpayers’ Union–Curia and RNZ–Reid Research, project narrow parliamentary majorities or hung outcomes depending on whether the right bloc (National–ACT–NZ First) or left bloc (Labour–Greens–Te Pāti Māori, sometimes with TOP) reaches the 62-seat threshold. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by volatility in these aggregates, historical precedent for late swings in New Zealand elections, and uncertainty over coalition negotiations that could determine which major party leads the next government.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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