Rashida Tlaib’s position as the heavy favorite in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, with a partisan voter index of D+21. She secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district’s consistent Democratic margins near 70 percent in recent cycles, including Tlaib’s 2024 general election performance, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, significant health development, or unusually low turnout among core Democratic voters ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-12
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-12
$39,234 Vol.
$39,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
96%
James Hooper (R)
1%
$39,234 Vol.
$39,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
$21,751 Vol.
96%
James Hooper (R)
$17,483 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib’s position as the heavy favorite in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, with a partisan voter index of D+21. She secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district’s consistent Democratic margins near 70 percent in recent cycles, including Tlaib’s 2024 general election performance, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, significant health development, or unusually low turnout among core Democratic voters ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$39,234Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib’s position as the heavy favorite in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, with a partisan voter index of D+21. She secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district’s consistent Democratic margins near 70 percent in recent cycles, including Tlaib’s 2024 general election performance, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, significant health development, or unusually low turnout among core Democratic voters ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,234Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Rashida Tlaib’s position as the heavy favorite in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, with a partisan voter index of D+21. She secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district’s consistent Democratic margins near 70 percent in recent cycles, including Tlaib’s 2024 general election performance, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, significant health development, or unusually low turnout among core Democratic voters ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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