Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 50 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed nominee and Troy mayor, in the November general election. The open seat, previously held by Democrat Haley Stevens, sits in a district with a consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Moss’s advantages include substantial campaign fundraising, prior legislative experience, and the district’s partisan composition that favors Democratic candidates in general elections. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for Moss aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.