Roseana Sarney holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her consistent lead in recent surveys, driven by strong name recognition as a former four-time Maranhão governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney. The September Real Time Big Data poll showed her at 18% against 15% each for André Fufuca, Lahesio Bonfim, and incumbent Weverton Rocha, with Eliziane Gama at 14%, in a race where voters select two senators and many remain undecided. Alliances have solidified ahead of the October 4 vote, with Sarney tied to the MDB-backed Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket while rivals align with competing groups like Eduardo Braide’s PSD slate. High undecided shares and the fragmented field keep separation narrow, though late campaign momentum or regional turnout shifts could alter final ordering.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRoseana Sarney 54%
Lahesio Bonfim 17.0%
Weverton Rocha 7.5%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,527 Vol.
$26,527 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Roseana Sarney
54%
Lahesio Bonfim
17%
Weverton Rocha
7%
Fufuca
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Eliziane Gama
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Roseana Sarney 54%
Lahesio Bonfim 17.0%
Weverton Rocha 7.5%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,527 Vol.
$26,527 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Roseana Sarney
$16,998 Vol.
54%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,058 Vol.
17%
Weverton Rocha
$2,252 Vol.
7%
Fufuca
$527 Vol.
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$391 Vol.
<1%
Eliziane Gama
$395 Vol.
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
$412 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$367 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$405 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$282 Vol.
<1%
Wilson Leite
$439 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her consistent lead in recent surveys, driven by strong name recognition as a former four-time Maranhão governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney. The September Real Time Big Data poll showed her at 18% against 15% each for André Fufuca, Lahesio Bonfim, and incumbent Weverton Rocha, with Eliziane Gama at 14%, in a race where voters select two senators and many remain undecided. Alliances have solidified ahead of the October 4 vote, with Sarney tied to the MDB-backed Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket while rivals align with competing groups like Eduardo Braide’s PSD slate. High undecided shares and the fragmented field keep separation narrow, though late campaign momentum or regional turnout shifts could alter final ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$26,527Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her consistent lead in recent surveys, driven by strong name recognition as a former four-time Maranhão governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney. The September Real Time Big Data poll showed her at 18% against 15% each for André Fufuca, Lahesio Bonfim, and incumbent Weverton Rocha, with Eliziane Gama at 14%, in a race where voters select two senators and many remain undecided. Alliances have solidified ahead of the October 4 vote, with Sarney tied to the MDB-backed Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket while rivals align with competing groups like Eduardo Braide’s PSD slate. High undecided shares and the fragmented field keep separation narrow, though late campaign momentum or regional turnout shifts could alter final ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,527Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her consistent lead in recent surveys, driven by strong name recognition as a former four-time Maranhão governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney. The September Real Time Big Data poll showed her at 18% against 15% each for André Fufuca, Lahesio Bonfim, and incumbent Weverton Rocha, with Eliziane Gama at 14%, in a race where voters select two senators and many remain undecided. Alliances have solidified ahead of the October 4 vote, with Sarney tied to the MDB-backed Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket while rivals align with competing groups like Eduardo Braide’s PSD slate. High undecided shares and the fragmented field keep separation narrow, though late campaign momentum or regional turnout shifts could alter final ordering.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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