Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) for the two São Paulo Senate seats up for election on October 4, with each in the low-to-mid teens in combined first- and second-preference shares and André do Prado (PL) trailing at 7%. Derrite leads in first-preference mentions, consistent with trader pricing that places him slightly ahead for top spot. The start of free electoral advertising in late August lifted the front-runners, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares (over 40% combined) keep separation limited. Right-wing emphasis on the ongoing STF controversy and security themes contrasts with the ex-ministers’ positioning alongside Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, leaving room for late shifts before the single-round vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGuilherme Derrite 50%
Simone Tebet 27.1%
Marina Silva 20%
André do Prado 3.8%
$42,531 Vol.
$42,531 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Guilherme Derrite
50%
Simone Tebet
27%
Marina Silva
20%
André do Prado
4%
Salles
2%
Soninha Francine
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
<1%
William Teixeira
<1%
Maíra de Souza
<1%
Marcio Alves
<1%
Petter Maahs
<1%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
<1%
Ednelson Cesaretti
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
<1%
Guilherme Derrite 50%
Simone Tebet 27.1%
Marina Silva 20%
André do Prado 3.8%
$42,531 Vol.
$42,531 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Guilherme Derrite
$26,426 Vol.
50%
Simone Tebet
$2,011 Vol.
27%
Marina Silva
$4,976 Vol.
20%
André do Prado
$2,379 Vol.
4%
Salles
$1,951 Vol.
2%
Soninha Francine
$474 Vol.
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
$383 Vol.
<1%
William Teixeira
$733 Vol.
<1%
Maíra de Souza
$396 Vol.
<1%
Marcio Alves
$552 Vol.
<1%
Petter Maahs
$419 Vol.
<1%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$613 Vol.
<1%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$737 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
$480 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) for the two São Paulo Senate seats up for election on October 4, with each in the low-to-mid teens in combined first- and second-preference shares and André do Prado (PL) trailing at 7%. Derrite leads in first-preference mentions, consistent with trader pricing that places him slightly ahead for top spot. The start of free electoral advertising in late August lifted the front-runners, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares (over 40% combined) keep separation limited. Right-wing emphasis on the ongoing STF controversy and security themes contrasts with the ex-ministers’ positioning alongside Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, leaving room for late shifts before the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$42,531Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) for the two São Paulo Senate seats up for election on October 4, with each in the low-to-mid teens in combined first- and second-preference shares and André do Prado (PL) trailing at 7%. Derrite leads in first-preference mentions, consistent with trader pricing that places him slightly ahead for top spot. The start of free electoral advertising in late August lifted the front-runners, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares (over 40% combined) keep separation limited. Right-wing emphasis on the ongoing STF controversy and security themes contrasts with the ex-ministers’ positioning alongside Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, leaving room for late shifts before the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$42,531Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) for the two São Paulo Senate seats up for election on October 4, with each in the low-to-mid teens in combined first- and second-preference shares and André do Prado (PL) trailing at 7%. Derrite leads in first-preference mentions, consistent with trader pricing that places him slightly ahead for top spot. The start of free electoral advertising in late August lifted the front-runners, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares (over 40% combined) keep separation limited. Right-wing emphasis on the ongoing STF controversy and security themes contrasts with the ex-ministers’ positioning alongside Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, leaving room for late shifts before the single-round vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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