Recent polling for the Bahia gubernatorial race shows a tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with most surveys from late August and early September indicating technical ties or single-digit margins within the margin of error in both first-round and runoff scenarios. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, established PT organizational strength, and alliances tied to the federal government, while ACM Neto draws on prior electoral performance and focuses criticism on state infrastructure and federal highway maintenance. Minor candidates such as Ronaldo Mansur, Ariel Capistrano, and others register negligible support. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25; trader pricing reflects the closely contested nature reflected in the latest survey data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJerônimo Rodrigues 55%
ACM Neto 45%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$148,602 Vol.
$148,602 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
55%
ACM Neto
45%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 55%
ACM Neto 45%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$148,602 Vol.
$148,602 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$48,701 Vol.
55%
ACM Neto
$57,777 Vol.
45%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Bahia gubernatorial race shows a tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with most surveys from late August and early September indicating technical ties or single-digit margins within the margin of error in both first-round and runoff scenarios. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, established PT organizational strength, and alliances tied to the federal government, while ACM Neto draws on prior electoral performance and focuses criticism on state infrastructure and federal highway maintenance. Minor candidates such as Ronaldo Mansur, Ariel Capistrano, and others register negligible support. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25; trader pricing reflects the closely contested nature reflected in the latest survey data.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$148,602Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Bahia gubernatorial race shows a tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with most surveys from late August and early September indicating technical ties or single-digit margins within the margin of error in both first-round and runoff scenarios. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, established PT organizational strength, and alliances tied to the federal government, while ACM Neto draws on prior electoral performance and focuses criticism on state infrastructure and federal highway maintenance. Minor candidates such as Ronaldo Mansur, Ariel Capistrano, and others register negligible support. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25; trader pricing reflects the closely contested nature reflected in the latest survey data.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$148,602Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the Bahia gubernatorial race shows a tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with most surveys from late August and early September indicating technical ties or single-digit margins within the margin of error in both first-round and runoff scenarios. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, established PT organizational strength, and alliances tied to the federal government, while ACM Neto draws on prior electoral performance and focuses criticism on state infrastructure and federal highway maintenance. Minor candidates such as Ronaldo Mansur, Ariel Capistrano, and others register negligible support. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25; trader pricing reflects the closely contested nature reflected in the latest survey data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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