Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating former Representative Cori Bush 59% to 37% in a rematch. The St. Louis-area seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating and a partisan voting index around D+29. Bell won the 2024 general election with 76% of the vote and benefits from substantial fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate who prevailed in his low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in the heavily Democratic district. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell aligns with these fundamentals; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMO-01 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
MO-01 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$36,818 Vol.
$36,818 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Wesley Bell (D)
97%
Paul Berry (R)
2%
$36,818 Vol.
$36,818 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Wesley Bell (D)
$22,847 Vol.
97%
Paul Berry (R)
$13,971 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating former Representative Cori Bush 59% to 37% in a rematch. The St. Louis-area seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating and a partisan voting index around D+29. Bell won the 2024 general election with 76% of the vote and benefits from substantial fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate who prevailed in his low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in the heavily Democratic district. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell aligns with these fundamentals; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$36,818Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating former Representative Cori Bush 59% to 37% in a rematch. The St. Louis-area seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating and a partisan voting index around D+29. Bell won the 2024 general election with 76% of the vote and benefits from substantial fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate who prevailed in his low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in the heavily Democratic district. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell aligns with these fundamentals; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,818Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating former Representative Cori Bush 59% to 37% in a rematch. The St. Louis-area seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating and a partisan voting index around D+29. Bell won the 2024 general election with 76% of the vote and benefits from substantial fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate who prevailed in his low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in the heavily Democratic district. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell aligns with these fundamentals; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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