**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Lucknow on September 13, reflecting broad agreement among India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts and observational data.** Multiple sources, including Lucknow Airport station reports and city-specific outlooks, project a nighttime low in the 26–27°C range under partly cloudy skies with light drizzle or overcast conditions expected through the day. High humidity near 85% and limited radiative cooling from monsoon-related cloud cover suppress sharper drops, aligning with typical September baselines for the region. Recent IMD updates show no significant deviations from these patterns, with maximums around 32–34°C and no major weather systems altering overnight temperatures. Market-implied odds at 90% for 27°C capture this tight consensus, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 26°C reflect only modest uncertainty from potential model variations or localized variations. Resolution will hinge on the official IMD minimum recorded at the primary Lucknow station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 13 settembre?
27°C 99.5%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$708 Vol.
$708 Vol.
13 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sì
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C o superiore
No
27°C 99.5%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$708 Vol.
$708 Vol.
13 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$25 Vol.
No
22°C
$75 Vol.
No
23°C
$75 Vol.
No
24°C
$0 Vol.
No
25°C
$0 Vol.
No
26°C
$57 Vol.
No
27°C
$210 Vol.
Sì
28°C
$186 Vol.
No
29°C
$50 Vol.
No
30°C
$15 Vol.
No
31°C o superiore
$15 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Lucknow on September 13, reflecting broad agreement among India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts and observational data.** Multiple sources, including Lucknow Airport station reports and city-specific outlooks, project a nighttime low in the 26–27°C range under partly cloudy skies with light drizzle or overcast conditions expected through the day. High humidity near 85% and limited radiative cooling from monsoon-related cloud cover suppress sharper drops, aligning with typical September baselines for the region. Recent IMD updates show no significant deviations from these patterns, with maximums around 32–34°C and no major weather systems altering overnight temperatures. Market-implied odds at 90% for 27°C capture this tight consensus, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 26°C reflect only modest uncertainty from potential model variations or localized variations. Resolution will hinge on the official IMD minimum recorded at the primary Lucknow station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$708Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Lucknow on September 13, reflecting broad agreement among India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts and observational data.** Multiple sources, including Lucknow Airport station reports and city-specific outlooks, project a nighttime low in the 26–27°C range under partly cloudy skies with light drizzle or overcast conditions expected through the day. High humidity near 85% and limited radiative cooling from monsoon-related cloud cover suppress sharper drops, aligning with typical September baselines for the region. Recent IMD updates show no significant deviations from these patterns, with maximums around 32–34°C and no major weather systems altering overnight temperatures. Market-implied odds at 90% for 27°C capture this tight consensus, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 26°C reflect only modest uncertainty from potential model variations or localized variations. Resolution will hinge on the official IMD minimum recorded at the primary Lucknow station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$708Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Lucknow on September 13, reflecting broad agreement among India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts and observational data.** Multiple sources, including Lucknow Airport station reports and city-specific outlooks, project a nighttime low in the 26–27°C range under partly cloudy skies with light drizzle or overcast conditions expected through the day. High humidity near 85% and limited radiative cooling from monsoon-related cloud cover suppress sharper drops, aligning with typical September baselines for the region. Recent IMD updates show no significant deviations from these patterns, with maximums around 32–34°C and no major weather systems altering overnight temperatures. Market-implied odds at 90% for 27°C capture this tight consensus, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 26°C reflect only modest uncertainty from potential model variations or localized variations. Resolution will hinge on the official IMD minimum recorded at the primary Lucknow station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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