Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2021, Mann secured renomination with 81 percent in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64 percent, faces structural headwinds in the expansive rural district spanning much of western Kansas. The general election on November 3 features a Libertarian candidate as well, but trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the GOP in this seat. Late developments such as major national shifts or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$17,702 Vol.
$17,702 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
6%
$17,702 Vol.
$17,702 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
$6,237 Vol.
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
$11,466 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2021, Mann secured renomination with 81 percent in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64 percent, faces structural headwinds in the expansive rural district spanning much of western Kansas. The general election on November 3 features a Libertarian candidate as well, but trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the GOP in this seat. Late developments such as major national shifts or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,702Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2021, Mann secured renomination with 81 percent in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64 percent, faces structural headwinds in the expansive rural district spanning much of western Kansas. The general election on November 3 features a Libertarian candidate as well, but trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the GOP in this seat. Late developments such as major national shifts or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,702Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2021, Mann secured renomination with 81 percent in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64 percent, faces structural headwinds in the expansive rural district spanning much of western Kansas. The general election on November 3 features a Libertarian candidate as well, but trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the GOP in this seat. Late developments such as major national shifts or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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