The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 2nd Congressional District, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the party nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, positioning him against Democratic nominee Don Coover in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Limited public polling and the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for such reversals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKS-02 House Election Winner
KS-02 House Election Winner
$12,328 Vol.
$12,328 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Derek Schmidt (R)
95%
Don Coover (D)
5%
$12,328 Vol.
$12,328 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Derek Schmidt (R)
$6,967 Vol.
95%
Don Coover (D)
$5,360 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 2nd Congressional District, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the party nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, positioning him against Democratic nominee Don Coover in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Limited public polling and the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$12,328Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 2nd Congressional District, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the party nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, positioning him against Democratic nominee Don Coover in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Limited public polling and the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,328Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 2nd Congressional District, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the party nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, positioning him against Democratic nominee Don Coover in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Limited public polling and the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for such reversals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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