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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung

Lai Jui-lung 76%

Ko Chih-en 23.2%

Chang Ching 1.1%

Hsu Chih-chieh <1%

Polymarket

$11,387 Vol.

Lai Jui-lung 76%

Ko Chih-en 23.2%

Chang Ching 1.1%

Hsu Chih-chieh <1%

Polymarket

$11,387 Vol.

icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$6,454 Vol.

76%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$2,819 Vol.

23%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$703 Vol.

1%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$516 Vol.

1%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$445 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$450 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and former legislator with prior Kaohsiung city government experience, holds a clear lead in the November 28, 2026 mayoral race. Recent polls from mid-2026, including telephone surveys by Mirror Media and Taiwan Brain Trust, show him ahead of Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en by 15–20 points in some samples, though narrower gaps appear in certain online polls. Kaohsiung’s status as a DPP-leaning municipality, combined with strong approval ratings for outgoing mayor Chen Chi-mai, has helped consolidate support for Lai following his January 2026 primary victory. Ko has focused on consolidating opposition and independent voters through youth-oriented platforms on jobs and housing, but the current trader consensus reflects the structural and polling advantages favoring the DPP contender. Minor candidates and independents remain far behind.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$11,387
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and former legislator with prior Kaohsiung city government experience, holds a clear lead in the November 28, 2026 mayoral race. Recent polls from mid-2026, including telephone surveys by Mirror Media and Taiwan Brain Trust, show him ahead of Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en by 15–20 points in some samples, though narrower gaps appear in certain online polls. Kaohsiung’s status as a DPP-leaning municipality, combined with strong approval ratings for outgoing mayor Chen Chi-mai, has helped consolidate support for Lai following his January 2026 primary victory. Ko has focused on consolidating opposition and independent voters through youth-oriented platforms on jobs and housing, but the current trader consensus reflects the structural and polling advantages favoring the DPP contender. Minor candidates and independents remain far behind.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$11,387
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lai Jui-lung" a 76%, seguito da "Ko Chih-en" a 23%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 76¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 76% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung" ha generato $11.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 14, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung" è "Lai Jui-lung" a 76%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 76% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ko Chih-en" a 23%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Kaohsiung" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.