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icon for Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei

icon for Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei

Lee Shu-chuan 80%

Su Chiao-hui 21%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket

$13,517 Vol.

Lee Shu-chuan 80%

Su Chiao-hui 21%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket

$13,517 Vol.

icon for Lee Shu-chuan

Lee Shu-chuan

$2,740 Vol.

80%

icon for Su Chiao-hui

Su Chiao-hui

$9,606 Vol.

21%

icon for Huang Kuo-chang

Huang Kuo-chang

$1,171 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to his selection as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following an April 2026 primary where he outperformed Taiwan People's Party chairman Huang Kuo-chang. This cross-party coordination consolidated opposition support ahead of the November 28 election for the open seat vacated by term-limited incumbent Hou You-yi. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee and sitting legislator from the city, trails at 20.5% amid recent polling that shows the race within the margin of error, with some surveys indicating her narrow lead in head-to-head support. Huang's 0.2% reflects his April withdrawal and pledge to back Lee. Trader consensus emphasizes Lee's administrative experience across multiple municipalities and unified party resources as key advantages in this closely divided locality.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$13,517
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to his selection as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following an April 2026 primary where he outperformed Taiwan People's Party chairman Huang Kuo-chang. This cross-party coordination consolidated opposition support ahead of the November 28 election for the open seat vacated by term-limited incumbent Hou You-yi. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee and sitting legislator from the city, trails at 20.5% amid recent polling that shows the race within the margin of error, with some surveys indicating her narrow lead in head-to-head support. Huang's 0.2% reflects his April withdrawal and pledge to back Lee. Trader consensus emphasizes Lee's administrative experience across multiple municipalities and unified party resources as key advantages in this closely divided locality.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$13,517
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lee Shu-chuan" a 80%, seguito da "Su Chiao-hui" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 80¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 80% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei" ha generato $13.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 14, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei" è "Lee Shu-chuan" a 80%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 80% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Su Chiao-hui" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.