**Clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Central Europe are positioning the highest temperature in Munich on September 23 near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes.** Official forecasts from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show afternoon maxima clustering at 18–19°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This matches September’s long-term average high of 18.8°C and reflects minimal model spread in the latest runs. The absence of incoming fronts or significant cloud cover through the day keeps probabilities tightly concentrated, with only minor upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will confirm whether any last adjustments alter the narrow 18–19°C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 23 settembre?
19°C 53%
18°C 34%
20°C 5%
17°C 3%
$15,908 Vol.
$15,908 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
34%
19°C
53%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
19°C 53%
18°C 34%
20°C 5%
17°C 3%
$15,908 Vol.
$15,908 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
34%
19°C
53%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Central Europe are positioning the highest temperature in Munich on September 23 near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes.** Official forecasts from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show afternoon maxima clustering at 18–19°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This matches September’s long-term average high of 18.8°C and reflects minimal model spread in the latest runs. The absence of incoming fronts or significant cloud cover through the day keeps probabilities tightly concentrated, with only minor upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will confirm whether any last adjustments alter the narrow 18–19°C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti