Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 24 project a high near 95°F under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5-10 mph, consistent with recent model guidance and surface observations showing hot, humid conditions. Heat indices may reach 103-106°F amid elevated dew points, though minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 20%) support limited afternoon cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology slightly above the seasonal average high of around 90-92°F, positioning the 94-95°F bin as the market leader at 75.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread against potential microscale variations at official reporting stations, with lower-probability bins reflecting risks of modest under- or over-performance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 24 settembre?
94-95°F 73%
92-93°F 22%
96-97°F 5%
90-91°F 2%
$21,040 Vol.
$21,040 Vol.
87°F o inferiore
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
73%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o superiore
<1%
94-95°F 73%
92-93°F 22%
96-97°F 5%
90-91°F 2%
$21,040 Vol.
$21,040 Vol.
87°F o inferiore
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
73%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 24 project a high near 95°F under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5-10 mph, consistent with recent model guidance and surface observations showing hot, humid conditions. Heat indices may reach 103-106°F amid elevated dew points, though minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 20%) support limited afternoon cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology slightly above the seasonal average high of around 90-92°F, positioning the 94-95°F bin as the market leader at 75.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread against potential microscale variations at official reporting stations, with lower-probability bins reflecting risks of modest under- or over-performance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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