The market's 100% implied probability on a 68-69°F high for New York City on September 22 stems from official post-event observations confirming that range as the day's peak temperature. NOAA and National Weather Service station data, including Central Park measurements, recorded a maximum in that narrow band after a mild late-September air mass with limited daytime heating and light winds. With the date now concluded, forecast uncertainty has resolved into verified readings, leaving negligible room for other outcomes. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or station anomaly, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are validated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoView resolved

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