Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on September 14, indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Munich on September 15 under high pressure with light easterly winds. This setup supports daytime heating to afternoon highs of 24–26°C, well above the 1991–2020 September 15 average high of 19.6°C. Ensemble guidance shows low precipitation probability and minimal cloud cover, limiting cooling and positioning 25°C as the most probable peak. Minor model spread around exact maxima—driven by subtle differences in boundary layer mixing—explains the market's concentration on 24–26°C outcomes, with traders assigning over 85% implied probability to this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco il 15 settembre?
25°C 62%
24°C 27%
26°C 11%
23°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
27%
25°C
62%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 62%
24°C 27%
26°C 11%
23°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$833 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$605 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,145 Vol.
27%
25°C
$1,578 Vol.
62%
26°C
$1,054 Vol.
11%
27°C
$480 Vol.
3%
28°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on September 14, indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Munich on September 15 under high pressure with light easterly winds. This setup supports daytime heating to afternoon highs of 24–26°C, well above the 1991–2020 September 15 average high of 19.6°C. Ensemble guidance shows low precipitation probability and minimal cloud cover, limiting cooling and positioning 25°C as the most probable peak. Minor model spread around exact maxima—driven by subtle differences in boundary layer mixing—explains the market's concentration on 24–26°C outcomes, with traders assigning over 85% implied probability to this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,217Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on September 14, indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Munich on September 15 under high pressure with light easterly winds. This setup supports daytime heating to afternoon highs of 24–26°C, well above the 1991–2020 September 15 average high of 19.6°C. Ensemble guidance shows low precipitation probability and minimal cloud cover, limiting cooling and positioning 25°C as the most probable peak. Minor model spread around exact maxima—driven by subtle differences in boundary layer mixing—explains the market's concentration on 24–26°C outcomes, with traders assigning over 85% implied probability to this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,217Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on September 14, indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Munich on September 15 under high pressure with light easterly winds. This setup supports daytime heating to afternoon highs of 24–26°C, well above the 1991–2020 September 15 average high of 19.6°C. Ensemble guidance shows low precipitation probability and minimal cloud cover, limiting cooling and positioning 25°C as the most probable peak. Minor model spread around exact maxima—driven by subtle differences in boundary layer mixing—explains the market's concentration on 24–26°C outcomes, with traders assigning over 85% implied probability to this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti