Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations and regional forecast models show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels. This alignment with the market's near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects consistent model runs and real-time measurements confirming no significant deviation from the expected peak. Historical September baselines in the region support highs in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Resolution could be challenged only by rare station-specific microclimatic effects or last-hour measurement revisions exceeding standard error margins, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 14 settembre?
29°C 100%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$65,630 Vol.
$65,630 Vol.
14 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Sì
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C o superiore
No
29°C 100%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$65,630 Vol.
$65,630 Vol.
14 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$98 Vol.
No
25°C
$98 Vol.
No
26°C
$276 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,839 Vol.
No
28°C
$22,275 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,170 Vol.
Sì
30°C
$13,378 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,911 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,332 Vol.
No
33°C
$70 Vol.
No
34°C o superiore
$183 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations and regional forecast models show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels. This alignment with the market's near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects consistent model runs and real-time measurements confirming no significant deviation from the expected peak. Historical September baselines in the region support highs in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Resolution could be challenged only by rare station-specific microclimatic effects or last-hour measurement revisions exceeding standard error margins, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$65,630Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations and regional forecast models show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels. This alignment with the market's near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects consistent model runs and real-time measurements confirming no significant deviation from the expected peak. Historical September baselines in the region support highs in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Resolution could be challenged only by rare station-specific microclimatic effects or last-hour measurement revisions exceeding standard error margins, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,630Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations and regional forecast models show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels. This alignment with the market's near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects consistent model runs and real-time measurements confirming no significant deviation from the expected peak. Historical September baselines in the region support highs in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Resolution could be challenged only by rare station-specific microclimatic effects or last-hour measurement revisions exceeding standard error margins, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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