Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 14, reflecting real-time meteorological data from official Chinese weather services showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level. Current surface observations and model guidance indicate stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating to exactly 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this value, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat island effects or brief showers. Resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum readings from the primary Wuhan station, with final confirmation expected in the next official bulletin; any deviation would require an unforecasted cold front or measurement revision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 14 settembre?
33°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$36,954 Vol.
$36,954 Vol.
14 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Sì
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C o superiore
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$36,954 Vol.
$36,954 Vol.
14 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
$266 Vol.
No
28°C
$237 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,411 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,558 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,420 Vol.
No
32°C
$13,217 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,511 Vol.
Sì
34°C
$3,984 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,473 Vol.
No
36°C
$391 Vol.
No
37°C o superiore
$487 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 14, reflecting real-time meteorological data from official Chinese weather services showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level. Current surface observations and model guidance indicate stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating to exactly 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this value, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat island effects or brief showers. Resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum readings from the primary Wuhan station, with final confirmation expected in the next official bulletin; any deviation would require an unforecasted cold front or measurement revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$36,954Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 14, reflecting real-time meteorological data from official Chinese weather services showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level. Current surface observations and model guidance indicate stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating to exactly 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this value, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat island effects or brief showers. Resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum readings from the primary Wuhan station, with final confirmation expected in the next official bulletin; any deviation would require an unforecasted cold front or measurement revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,954Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 14, reflecting real-time meteorological data from official Chinese weather services showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level. Current surface observations and model guidance indicate stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating to exactly 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this value, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat island effects or brief showers. Resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum readings from the primary Wuhan station, with final confirmation expected in the next official bulletin; any deviation would require an unforecasted cold front or measurement revision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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