**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Pechino il 14 settembre?
26°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,218 Vol.
$76,218 Vol.
14 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C o superiore
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,218 Vol.
$76,218 Vol.
14 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$253 Vol.
No
22°C
$252 Vol.
No
23°C
$253 Vol.
No
24°C
$684 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,990 Vol.
No
26°C
$23,756 Vol.
Sì
27°C
$13,699 Vol.
No
28°C
$14,341 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,160 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,895 Vol.
No
31°C o superiore
$3,935 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$76,218Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,218Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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