Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional meteorological services converge on a maximum of 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the seasonal September average high near 37.6°C under typical hot, humid Red Sea conditions with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation risk. Recent station data through early September show daily maxima fluctuating between 36.4°C and 38.4°C without significant deviations from climatology, supporting the market’s emphasis on 37°C (46.5% implied probability) while the 25.5% odds on 38°C or higher reflect residual uncertainty from potential model spread or localized heating under clear skies. Stable atmospheric patterns and consistent guidance through the next 24–48 hours limit upside or downside surprises ahead of official daily reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda l'11 settembre?
37°C 48%
36°C 25%
38°C o superiore 25%
35°C 5%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
25%
37°C
48%
38°C o superiore
25%
37°C 48%
36°C 25%
38°C o superiore 25%
35°C 5%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
25%
37°C
48%
38°C o superiore
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional meteorological services converge on a maximum of 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the seasonal September average high near 37.6°C under typical hot, humid Red Sea conditions with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation risk. Recent station data through early September show daily maxima fluctuating between 36.4°C and 38.4°C without significant deviations from climatology, supporting the market’s emphasis on 37°C (46.5% implied probability) while the 25.5% odds on 38°C or higher reflect residual uncertainty from potential model spread or localized heating under clear skies. Stable atmospheric patterns and consistent guidance through the next 24–48 hours limit upside or downside surprises ahead of official daily reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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