**Official weather observations for Austin on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 100–101°F, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100.0% outcome.** Multiple real-time reports from stations including Austin-Bergstrom and NWS-affiliated sources documented this peak during a period of heat advisories, with highs near or slightly above seasonal records under a hot, humid southerly flow. Forecasts from models like GFS had consistently projected upper 90s to low 100s, and post-event data confirmed no exceedance of 101°F at primary reporting sites. This market-implied certainty reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified measurements rather than forecasts. The outcome could face challenge only from a rare official revision—such as a station-specific discrepancy or post-processing adjustment—though historical patterns show such changes are uncommon for clear, dry days with minimal precipitation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 12 settembre?
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F o inferiore <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,510 Vol.
$37,510 Vol.
12 set 2026
91°F o inferiore
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F o superiore
<1%
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F o inferiore <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,510 Vol.
$37,510 Vol.
12 set 2026
91°F o inferiore
$389 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$438 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,222 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,133 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$6,159 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$9,533 Vol.
100%
102-103°F
$10,359 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$5,056 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$2,523 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$276 Vol.
<1%
110°F o superiore
$421 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official weather observations for Austin on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 100–101°F, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100.0% outcome.** Multiple real-time reports from stations including Austin-Bergstrom and NWS-affiliated sources documented this peak during a period of heat advisories, with highs near or slightly above seasonal records under a hot, humid southerly flow. Forecasts from models like GFS had consistently projected upper 90s to low 100s, and post-event data confirmed no exceedance of 101°F at primary reporting sites.
This market-implied certainty reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified measurements rather than forecasts. The outcome could face challenge only from a rare official revision—such as a station-specific discrepancy or post-processing adjustment—though historical patterns show such changes are uncommon for clear, dry days with minimal precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$37,510Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official weather observations for Austin on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 100–101°F, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100.0% outcome.** Multiple real-time reports from stations including Austin-Bergstrom and NWS-affiliated sources documented this peak during a period of heat advisories, with highs near or slightly above seasonal records under a hot, humid southerly flow. Forecasts from models like GFS had consistently projected upper 90s to low 100s, and post-event data confirmed no exceedance of 101°F at primary reporting sites.
This market-implied certainty reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified measurements rather than forecasts. The outcome could face challenge only from a rare official revision—such as a station-specific discrepancy or post-processing adjustment—though historical patterns show such changes are uncommon for clear, dry days with minimal precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,510Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official weather observations for Austin on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 100–101°F, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100.0% outcome.** Multiple real-time reports from stations including Austin-Bergstrom and NWS-affiliated sources documented this peak during a period of heat advisories, with highs near or slightly above seasonal records under a hot, humid southerly flow. Forecasts from models like GFS had consistently projected upper 90s to low 100s, and post-event data confirmed no exceedance of 101°F at primary reporting sites. This market-implied certainty reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified measurements rather than forecasts. The outcome could face challenge only from a rare official revision—such as a station-specific discrepancy or post-processing adjustment—though historical patterns show such changes are uncommon for clear, dry days with minimal precipitation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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