Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 24°C in Chengdu on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels in the Sichuan basin. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where averages hover near 25°C but recent steering patterns and cloud cover have moderated peaks. Multiple ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value, reinforcing the market's near-certain 24°C outcome. An unexpected clearing trend or stronger subsidence could allow brief warming above that threshold before sunset, though current stability makes such a shift improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 18 settembre?
24°C 100.0%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$30,796 Vol.
$30,796 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 100.0%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$30,796 Vol.
$30,796 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 24°C in Chengdu on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels in the Sichuan basin. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where averages hover near 25°C but recent steering patterns and cloud cover have moderated peaks. Multiple ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value, reinforcing the market's near-certain 24°C outcome. An unexpected clearing trend or stronger subsidence could allow brief warming above that threshold before sunset, though current stability makes such a shift improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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