Recent official observations and forecast models from Chinese meteorological authorities confirm a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and scattered showers. This aligns with the market-implied 100% consensus for 29°C, reflecting real-time surface data showing afternoon peaks near 29°C amid moderate humidity and minimal solar heating. Historical September averages for the region hover around 28–30°C, providing climatological support without indicating extremes. Only a significant post-event data revision from primary stations or an undetected microscale anomaly could alter resolution, though current multi-model agreement and live readings make such shifts improbable before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 18 settembre?
29°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$76,845 Vol.
$76,845 Vol.
24°C o inferiore
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Sì
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C o superiore
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$76,845 Vol.
$76,845 Vol.
24°C o inferiore
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Sì
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent official observations and forecast models from Chinese meteorological authorities confirm a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and scattered showers. This aligns with the market-implied 100% consensus for 29°C, reflecting real-time surface data showing afternoon peaks near 29°C amid moderate humidity and minimal solar heating. Historical September averages for the region hover around 28–30°C, providing climatological support without indicating extremes. Only a significant post-event data revision from primary stations or an undetected microscale anomaly could alter resolution, though current multi-model agreement and live readings make such shifts improbable before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti