National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 98–100°F for Austin on September 20, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This setup favors peak afternoon temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, well above the 90°F climatological average, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Trader consensus aligns with this, pricing 98–99°F highest at 54% and 100–101°F at nearly 20%, reflecting low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns through the period. Minor model spreads around exact peak values and local urban heat effects introduce the main uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Austin il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Austin il 20 settembre?
98-99°F 55%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 22%
102-103°F 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
89°F o meno
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
22%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F o superiore
<1%
98-99°F 55%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 22%
102-103°F 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
89°F o meno
$111 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$142 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$39 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$241 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$434 Vol.
24%
98-99°F
$319 Vol.
55%
100-101°F
$669 Vol.
22%
102-103°F
$9 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$99 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$177 Vol.
1%
108°F o superiore
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 98–100°F for Austin on September 20, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This setup favors peak afternoon temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, well above the 90°F climatological average, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Trader consensus aligns with this, pricing 98–99°F highest at 54% and 100–101°F at nearly 20%, reflecting low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns through the period. Minor model spreads around exact peak values and local urban heat effects introduce the main uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,351Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 98–100°F for Austin on September 20, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This setup favors peak afternoon temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, well above the 90°F climatological average, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Trader consensus aligns with this, pricing 98–99°F highest at 54% and 100–101°F at nearly 20%, reflecting low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns through the period. Minor model spreads around exact peak values and local urban heat effects introduce the main uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,351Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 98–100°F for Austin on September 20, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This setup favors peak afternoon temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, well above the 90°F climatological average, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Trader consensus aligns with this, pricing 98–99°F highest at 54% and 100–101°F at nearly 20%, reflecting low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns through the period. Minor model spreads around exact peak values and local urban heat effects introduce the main uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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