Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Karachi il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Karachi il 20 settembre?
37°C 100.0%
32°C o inferiore <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$33,400 Vol.
$33,400 Vol.
20 set 2026
32°C o inferiore
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Sì
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C o superiore
No
37°C 100.0%
32°C o inferiore <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$33,400 Vol.
$33,400 Vol.
20 set 2026
32°C o inferiore
$5,520 Vol.
No
33°C
$158 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,932 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,192 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,414 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,697 Vol.
Sì
38°C
$2,173 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,674 Vol.
No
40°C
$757 Vol.
No
41°C
$623 Vol.
No
42°C o superiore
$261 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$33,400Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,400Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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