Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily high of 81°F on September 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This outcome aligns with model guidance and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 75.6°F while remaining well below historical records near 91°F. Trader consensus at near-certain implied probability for the 80–81°F bin reflects these verified observations rather than forecasts. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, both rare for this well-monitored urban site.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 18 settembre?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F o inferiore <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$59,800 Vol.
$59,800 Vol.
18 set 2026
71°F o inferiore
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Sì
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F o superiore
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F o inferiore <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$59,800 Vol.
$59,800 Vol.
18 set 2026
71°F o inferiore
$211 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$444 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,173 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,338 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$9,322 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$16,626 Vol.
Sì
82-83°F
$12,907 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$8,045 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$6,269 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,699 Vol.
No
90°F o superiore
$767 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily high of 81°F on September 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This outcome aligns with model guidance and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 75.6°F while remaining well below historical records near 91°F. Trader consensus at near-certain implied probability for the 80–81°F bin reflects these verified observations rather than forecasts. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, both rare for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$59,800Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily high of 81°F on September 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This outcome aligns with model guidance and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 75.6°F while remaining well below historical records near 91°F. Trader consensus at near-certain implied probability for the 80–81°F bin reflects these verified observations rather than forecasts. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, both rare for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,800Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily high of 81°F on September 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This outcome aligns with model guidance and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 75.6°F while remaining well below historical records near 91°F. Trader consensus at near-certain implied probability for the 80–81°F bin reflects these verified observations rather than forecasts. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, both rare for this well-monitored urban site.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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